Re: after the pay for podcast era comes the bored of podcast era?
I think we'll see a podcast crash in the same way that the internet crashed (albeit on a much much smaller scale). Podcasts as a whole aregoing to continue to get bigger but individually they'll reach a point where just being funny on an episode of someone else's podcast or being really into Game of Thrones won't be good enough reasons to start a podcast of your own. That's just the way these things work. That's why in 2011 no one is releasing 30 seconds of footage of a horse running as a feature film. Onwards and upwards. I think the most immediate change we'll see will probably be in booking. First, I think podcasts will start to rely on themselves a little more and we'll see the interview craze slow down. Second, among the existing interview shows guests will start to think of it the same way they do TV appearances. Harris Wittels will always be to Scott Aukerman as Norm MacDonald is to Conan but those people that aren't just in the regular stable of one specific podcast will learn to spread themselves out. People aren't as inclined to buy your book or listen to your new podcast after they've heard you show up on every other show they listen to in a week.
A lot of these problems are also the fault of us listeners, not the people running shows. The podcast world isn't incestuous, we're just all watching the same top tier. Those few shows are incestuous.
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